Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Bankruptcy Prediction with Industry Effects
This paper investigates the forecasting accuracy of bankruptcy hazard rate models for U.S. companies over the time period 1962–1999 using both yearly and monthly observation intervals. The contribution of this paper is multiple-fold. One, using an expanded bankruptcy database we validate the superior forecasting performance of Shumway’s (2001) model as opposed to Altman (1968) and Zmijewski (19...
متن کاملIndustry Effect , Credit Contagion and Bankruptcy Prediction
In this paper, we examine the effect of intra-industry credit contagion using three different kinds of intra-industry measures in our empirical study. We apply the competitive strategic measure (CSM) of Sundaram et al. (1996) to capture the strategic interaction faced by firms. We also consider the measure of industry-wide financial distress and the measure of equity correlations. We use the fo...
متن کاملDiscrimination Abilities of Bankruptcy Prediction Models
In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First the statistical association and significance of public records and firmographics indicators with the bankruptcy were explored. Then the event rate was oversamp...
متن کاملBankruptcy Prediction by Generalized Additive Models
We compare several accounting based models for bankruptcy prediction. The models are developed and tested on large data sets containing annual financial statements for Norwegian limited liability firms. Out-of-sample and out-of-time validation shows that generalized additive models significantly outperform popular models like linear discriminant analysis, generalized linear models and neural ne...
متن کاملBankruptcy in the Pulp and Paper Industry: Market’s Reaction & Prediction
This paper examines North American pulp and paper company bankruptcies that occurred between 1990 and 2009. We demonstrate that shareholders suffer substantial losses (37%) during the month a bankruptcy occurs. Encouragingly, we show that financial ratios are useful in predicting firm failure and that failed firms are less profitable, more liquidity constrained and higher in debt leverage. Usin...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Strategic decisions and risk management
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2618-9984,2618-947X
DOI: 10.17747/2078-8886-2018-1-64-71